aie peripheral: What happens next?
A large-scale analysis of current expert uncertainty for supply chain risks over the next 30 days, highlighting risks worth acting on now. See live situation.
aie.eu computational foresight for analysing supply chain risk exposure
Quantified foresight for geopolitical risk.
We illuminate risk exposure in deep supply chains. We answer three questions:
aie focal: Where are we exposed?
A continuous risk exposure analysis mapping geopolitical events across thousands of deep supply-chain suppliers and factories. See a demo.
aie lens: What does this mean for us?
A rapid report answering your business-critical supply chain geopolitical question in less than five days. See an example.
Where we are useful
Energy company: Which turbine architecture is less exposed?
An energy company preparing a major wind farm investment was drafting tender requirements for site providers. We compared two turbine architectures to establish which is less exposed to geopolitical volatility. The result is a quantified comparison showing how much lower the older architecture's exposure is, in a form that can be written into the requirements.
Electronics manufacturer: Is there hidden China exposure?
A European industrial corporation asked us to map one specific supplier's exposure to China-related geopolitical risk. At tier 2, exposure was 15%. Extending the analysis upstream, we found that over 90% of simulated supply chains in that product category are exposed to China risk.
Industrial machinery: Would duplicating suppliers actually reduce exposure?
A large industrial company was deciding whether to duplicate suppliers. We analysed one particularly complex chain and found large chokepoints beyond tier 5. Duplication would mitigate only a small share of total geopolitical risk exposure.
Contact us
Leave your work email and we'll get in touch.
Received. We will get back to this address.
Who we are
Johannes Koponen (CEO)
Johannes has over a decade of experience in using foresight to support client decisions. He teaches strategic foresight and has authored two books on digital platforms.
johannes@aie.eu
PhD Jaakko Särelä (CTO)
Jaakko has a PhD in machine learning. His career bridges machine learning, product strategy, and organizational leadership.
jaakko@aie.eu